Market Outlook
August 28, 2017
Market Cues
Domestic Indices
Chg (%)
(Pts)
(Close)
Indian markets are likely to open flat with a positive bias tracking SGX Nifty and
BSE Sensex
0.1
28
31,596
global cues.
Nifty
0.0
5
9,857
U.S. equity markets closed mixed on Friday, supported by hopes of a long-awaited
Mid Cap
0.8
121
15,252
tax reform plan and boosted from speeches by Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen
Small Cap
0.5
71
15,647
and European Central Bank President Mario Draghi. The Dow Jones Industrial
Bankex
(0.0)
(1)
27,454
Average edged higher for its first weekly gain in the last three weeks. The S&P 500
Index posted a modest gain while the NASDAQ Composite finished slightly lower.
Global Indices
Chg (%)
(Pts)
(Close)
The European markets were stuck in a sideways trend throughout Friday's session
and ended the day with small losses. Traders were reluctant to make any major
Dow Jones
0.1
30
21,814
moves ahead of speeches from the leaders of the major central banks at their
Nasdaq
(0.1)
(6)
6,266
annual meeting.
FTSE
(0.1)
(6)
7,401
Nikkei
(0.1)
(29)
19,424
On domestic front, Indian markets closed marginally higher on Thursday, led by
gains in pharma and IT stocks ahead of a key meeting of central bankers beginning
Hang Seng
0.8
210
28,058
later in the day.
Shanghai Com
1.1
35
3,367
News Analysis
Advances / Declines
BSE
NSE
Maruti Suzuki continues to lead PV market; 7 models in top 10 list
Advances
1,461
963
Detailed analysis is on Pg2
Declines
1,125
728
Unchanged
138
59
Investor’s Ready Reckoner
Key Domestic & Global Indicators
Volumes (` Cr)
Stock Watch: Latest investment recommendations on 150+ stocks
BSE
3,008
Refer Pg7 onwards
NSE
24,543
Top Picks
CMP
Target
Upside
Company
Sector
Rating
(`)
(`)
(%)
#Net Inflows (` Cr)
Net
Mtd
Ytd
Blue Star
Capital Goods
Accumulate
745
760
2.1
FII
(728)
(10,49)
47,904
Dewan Housing FinanceFinancials
Accumulate
474
520
9.7
MFs
63
10,828
61,774
Mahindra Lifespace
Real Estate
Buy
425
522
22.8
Navkar Corporation
Others
Buy
187
265
41.9
Top Gainers
Price (`)
Chg (%)
KEI Industries
Capital Goods
Buy
233
258
10.6
More Top Picks on Pg5
Wockpharma
608
8.9
Jpassociat
23
8.9
Key Upcoming Events
Previous
Consensus
Kajariacer
704
8.2
Date
Region
Event Description
Reading
Expectations
Bomdyeing
85
7.3
Aug 29, 2017 US
Consumer Confidence
121.10
119.00
Cadilahc
495
7.0
Aug 30, 2017 Germany Unemployment change (000's)
(8.00)
-
Aug 30, 2017 Euro Zone Euro-Zone Consumer Confidence
(1.50)
-
Aug 31, 2017 US
GDP Qoq (Annualised)
2.60
2.70
Top Losers
Price (`)
Chg (%)
Aug 31, 2017 China
PMI Manufacturing
51.40
51.20
Sparc
392
(7.4)
More Events on Pg7
Carerating
1,454
(3.2)
Religare
58
(3.0)
Eidparry
314
(2.8)
Oberoirlty
367
(2.7)
#as on 24th Aug, 2017
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
August 28, 2017
News Analysis
Maruti Suzuki continues to lead PV market; 7 models in top 10 list
Maruti Suzuki India retained its hold on the domestic passenger vehicle (PV)
market in July as seven of its models featured in the top 10 selling brands.
According to the latest data from Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers
(SIAM), in the top 10 best selling PVs, Maruti's Alto retained the top position in July
with the sales of 26,009 units as against 19,844 units in the same month last year.
The company's premium hatchback Baleno was the second best selling model with
19,153 units as compared to 9,120 units in July last year. Compact car Wagon R
was third, selling 16,301 units. The vehicle stood at the same position in the year-
ago period as well with 15,207 unit sales. Vitara Brezza stood at fourth position
with 15,243 units in July. It was at sixth position in July last year with sales of
10,232 units. MSI's Swift stood at fifth position with 13,738 units. It was third in the
same month of last with sales 13,934 units.
Rival Hyundai's hatchback Grand i10 stood at sixth position last month with
12,002 units. The company had sold 11,961 units of the vehicle in the same
period last year. Hyundai's premium hatchback Elite i20 stood at seventh position
last month with sale of 11,390 units. MSI's compact sedan Dzire stood at eighth
position with sales of 11,187 units. Its hatchback Celario came ninth with 11,087
unit sales.
Hyundai's SUV Creta with 10,556 units was at tenth position. MSI's Dzire Tour,
Omni and Renault's Kwid failed to make it to the top 10 list. They had featured in
the top 10 passenger vehicle list in the same period last year.
Economic and Political News
Aadhaar helped disburse `83,000 cr via direct benefit transfer: Assocham
300 million families got Jan Dhan accounts, `65,000cr deposited: PM Modi
PSU banks take action against 5,954 wilful defaulters to recover `70K cr
Corporate News
DLF seals JV deal with GIC after `8,900-cr stake sale by promoters
OIL seeks shareholders' approval to raise `7,000cr through bonds
Religare Enterprises seeks shareholders' approval to raise `500cr
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
August 28, 2017
Top Picks
Market Cap
CMP
Target
Upside
Company
Rationale
(` Cr)
(`)
(`)
(%)
Strong growth in domestic business due to its leadership
in acute therapeutic segment. Alkem expects to launch
Alkem Laboratories
21,366
1,787
2,161
20.9
more products in USA, which bodes for its international
business.
We expect the company would report strong profitability
Asian Granito
1,308
435
480
10.4
owing to better product mix, higher B2C sales and
amalgamation synergy.
Favorable outlook for the AC industry to augur well for
Cooling products business which is out pacing the
Blue Star
7,131
745
760
2.1
market growth. EMPPAC division's profitability to improve
once operating environment turns around.
With a focus on the low and medium income (LMI)
consumer segment, the company has increased its
Dewan Housing Finance
14,864
474
520
9.7
presence in tier-II & III cities where the growth
opportunity is immense.
Loan growth is likely to pick up after a sluggish FY17.
Karur Vysya Bank
8,454
140
160
14.4
Lower credit cost will help in strong bottom-line growth.
Increasing share of CASA will help in NIM improvement.
High order book execution in EPC segment, rising B2C
KEI Industries
1,814
233
258
10.6
sales and higher exports to boost the revenues and
profitability
Speedier execution and speedier sales, strong revenue
Mahindra Lifespace
2,182
425
522
22.8
visibility in short-to-long run, attractive valuations
Expected to benefit from the lower capex requirement
Music Broadcast
2,132
374
434
16.1
and 15 year long radio broadcast licensing.
Massive capacity expansion along with rail advantage at
Navkar Corporation
2,663
187
265
41.9
ICD as well CFS augurs well for the company
Strong brands and distribution network would boost
Siyaram Silk Mills
1,836
1,958
2,500
27.7
growth going ahead. Stock currently trades at an
inexpensive valuation.
Market leadership in Hindi news genre and no.
2
viewership ranking in English news genre, exit from the
TV Today Network
1,467
246
344
39.8
radio business, and anticipated growth in ad spends by
corporates to benefit the stock.
After GST, the company is expected to see higher
volumes along with improving product mix. The Gujarat
Maruti Suzuki
2,29,640
7,602
8,544
12.4
plant will also enable higher operating leverage which
will be margin accretive.
Source: Company, Angel Research
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
August 28, 2017
Key Upcoming Events
Global economic events release calendar
Bloomberg Data
Date
Time
Country
Event Description
Unit
Period
Last Reported
Estimated
Aug 29, 2017
7:30 PMUS
Consumer Confidence
S.A./ 1985=100
Aug
121.10
119.00
Aug 30, 2017
1:25 PMGermany
Unemployment change (000's)
Thousands
Aug
(8.00)
2:30 PMEuro Zone
Euro-Zone Consumer Confidence
Value
Aug F
(1.50)
Aug 31, 2017
6:00 PMUS
GDP Qoq (Annualised)
% Change
2Q S
2.60
2.70
6:30 AMChina
PMI Manufacturing
Value
Aug
51.40
51.20
Sep 01, 2017
1:25 PMGermany
PMI Manufacturing
Value
Aug F
59.40
6:00 PMUS
Change in Nonfarm payrolls
Thousands
Aug
209.00
180.00
6:00 PMUS
Unnemployment rate
%
Aug
4.30
4.30
2:00 PMUK
PMI Manufacturing
Value
Aug
55.10
Sep 05, 2017
1:25 PMGermany
PMI Services
Value
Aug F
53.40
2:30 PMEuro Zone
Euro-Zone GDP s.a. (QoQ)
% Change
2Q F
0.60
Sep 07, 2017
5:15 PMEuro Zone
ECB announces interest rates
%
Sep 7
-
Sep 08, 2017
India
Imports YoY%
% Change
Aug
15.40
2:00 PMUK
Industrial Production (YoY)
% Change
Jul
0.30
India
Exports YoY%
% Change
Aug
3.94
China
Exports YoY%
% Change
Aug
7.20
Sep 09, 2017
7:00 AMChina
Consumer Price Index (YoY)
% Change
Aug
1.40
Sep 12, 2017
2:00 PMUK
CPI (YoY)
% Change
Aug
2.60
5:30 PMIndia
Industrial Production YoY
% Change
Jul
(0.10)
Sep 13, 2017
2:00 PMUK
Jobless claims change
% Change
Aug
(4.20)
US
Producer Price Index (mom)
% Change
Aug
(0.20)
Sep 14, 2017
7:30 AMChina
Industrial Production (YoY)
% Change
Aug
6.40
12:00 PMIndia
Monthly Wholesale Prices YoY%
% Change
Aug
1.88
Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
August 28, 2017
Macro watch
Exhibit 1: Quarterly GDP trends
Exhibit 2: IIP trends
(%)
(%)
5.7
5.7
10.0
6.0
9.1
8.8
4.9
4.9
9.0
5.0
7.9
8.0
7.9
7.6
7.5
3.8
8.0
7.3
7.2
4.0
7.0
3.0
2.8
2.8
7.0
2.6
6.1
6.1
3.0
1.9
6.0
2.0
5.0
1.0
4.0
-
3.0
(0.1)
(1.0)
Source: CSO, Angel Research
Source: MOSPI, Angel Research
Exhibit 3: Monthly CPI inflation trends
Exhibit 4: Manufacturing and services PMI
56.0
Mfg. PMI
Services PMI
(%)
54.0
6.0
5.1
52.0
5.0
4.3
4.2
3.9
50.0
3.6
3.7
4.0
3.4
3.2
3.0
48.0
3.0
2.4
2.2
46.0
2.0
1.5
44.0
1.0
42.0
40.0
-
Source: Market, Angel Research; Note: Level above 50 indicates expansion
Source: MOSPI, Angel Research
Exhibit 5: Exports and imports growth trends
Exhibit 6: Key policy rates
(%)
Exports yoy growth
Imports yoy growth
(%)
Repo rate
Reverse Repo rate
CRR
60.0
6.50
50.0
6.00
40.0
5.50
30.0
20.0
5.00
10.0
4.50
0 .0
4.00
(10.0)
3.50
(20.0)
(30.0)
3.00
Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research
Source: RBI, Angel Research
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
August 28, 2017
Global watch
Exhibit 1: Latest quarterly GDP Growth (%, yoy) across select developing and developed countries
(%)
8.0
6.9
7.0
5.6
6.0
5.3
5.0
1.0
5.0
4.0
3.3
2.9
3.0
2.1
0.5
1.7
1.8
2.0
1.3
1.0
-
(1.0)
(0.4)
Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research
Exhibit 2: 2016 GDP Growth projection by IMF (%, yoy) across select developing and developed countries
(%)
7.2
6.6
7.0
6.0
5.1
5.0
4.5
4.0
3.0
3.0
2.3
2.0
1.4
1.6
2.0
1.4
1.2
0.2
0.8
1.0
-
Source: IMF, Angel Research
Exhibit 3: One year forward P-E ratio across select developing and developed countries
(x)
25.0
20.0
15.0
10.0
5.0
-
Source: IMF, Angel Research
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
August 28, 2017
Exhibit 4: Relative performance of indices across globe
Returns (%)
Country
Name of index
Closing price
1M
3M
1YR
Brazil
Bovespa
71,074
9.3
10.9
22.5
Russia
Micex
1,979
2.4
2.3
(0.4)
India
Nifty
9,857
(1.1)
5.3
13.7
China
Shanghai Composite
3,332
3.4
8.1
8.1
South Africa
Top 40
50,175
4.0
5.5
7.1
Mexico
Mexbol
51,373
(0.4)
3.9
8.5
Indonesia
LQ45
988
1.5
5.5
6.1
Malaysia
KLCI
1,769
0.2
(0.1)
4.4
Thailand
SET 50
1,003
0.2
1.2
2.2
USA
Dow Jones
21,814
0.5
3.5
18.6
UK
FTSE
7,401
(0.7)
(1.9)
8.5
Japan
Nikkei
19,453
(2.5)
(1.8)
18.0
Germany
DAX
12,168
(1.1)
(3.4)
14.9
France
CAC
5,104
(1.7)
(4.3)
12.4
Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research
www.angelbroking.com
Stock Watch
August 28, 2017
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY18E FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
Agri / Agri Chemical
Rallis
Reduce
230
209
4,472
1,873
2,099
15.0
15.0
9.5
10.5
24.2
21.9
3.7
3.3
15.8
16.0
2.3
2.1
United Phosphorus
Neutral
833
-
42,327
18,922
21,949
18.0
18.5
36.2
45.6
23.0
18.3
4.8
4.0
22.7
23.8
2.4
2.0
Auto & Auto Ancillary
Ashok Leyland
Buy
103
124
30,114
23,339
27,240
10.1
10.8
4.7
6.2
22.1
16.6
4.4
3.9
20.0
23.6
1.2
1.0
Bajaj Auto
Buy
2,734
3,151
79,126
23,936
27,955
19.5
20.1
142.7
167.3
19.2
16.3
4.2
3.7
21.8
22.8
2.9
2.4
Bharat Forge
Neutral
1,148
-
26,724
7,637
8,755
21.7
23.2
36.1
47.3
31.8
24.3
5.7
4.9
18.5
20.8
3.4
2.8
Eicher Motors
Neutral
30,751
-
83,710
19,043
22,837
19.5
19.9
835.4
1,019.0
36.8
30.2
13.8
10.6
40.9
37.8
4.3
3.5
Gabriel India
Neutral
177
-
2,545
1,782
2,033
9.7
10.2
7.1
8.9
25.0
20.0
5.0
4.3
21.0
22.2
1.4
1.2
Hero Motocorp
Accumulate
3,875
4,129
77,373
32,239
36,878
16.0
15.6
184.4
206.5
21.0
18.8
6.6
5.8
31.3
30.7
2.2
1.9
Jamna Auto Industries Neutral
239
-
1,904
1,441
1,662
14.4
14.8
13.9
17.6
17.2
13.6
4.7
3.8
30.0
31.0
1.3
1.1
Mahindra and Mahindra Neutral
1,376
-
85,450
46,971
53,816
13.6
14.0
67.7
79.8
20.3
17.2
2.9
2.6
15.0
15.9
1.7
1.4
Maruti
Accumulate
7,602
8,544
229,640
81,825
101,245
15.0
15.0
283.5
356.0
26.8
21.4
5.9
4.8
21.9
22.4
2.5
1.9
Minda Industries
Neutral
779
-
6,730
4,328
5,084
11.0
11.9
27.3
36.4
28.6
21.4
6.1
4.7
23.1
25.6
1.6
1.4
Motherson Sumi
Neutral
310
-
65,302
55,937
64,445
10.8
11.4
16.9
21.1
18.4
14.7
4.1
4.2
25.2
25.4
1.2
1.0
Tata Motors
Neutral
384
-
110,874
303,167
343,649
11.8
13.8
33.1
54.7
11.6
7.0
1.9
1.5
16.9
23.0
0.4
0.3
TVS Motor
Neutral
593
-
28,192
13,992
16,216
9.0
9.4
17.1
20.3
34.8
29.2
9.2
7.2
29.7
27.7
2.0
1.6
Amara Raja Batteries
Accumulate
779
858
13,299
6,140
7,122
14.3
15.6
29.3
39.0
26.6
20.0
4.5
3.8
17.1
19.0
2.2
1.9
Exide Industries
Neutral
202
-
17,196
8,689
9,854
15.1
15.2
9.7
11.0
21.0
18.4
3.7
3.3
15.7
16.1
1.7
1.5
Apollo Tyres
Neutral
257
-
13,062
15,739
17,326
13.3
14.6
20.4
26.7
12.6
9.6
1.5
1.3
20.4
26.7
1.1
1.0
Ceat
Neutral
1,650
-
6,675
6,661
7,717
11.1
14.2
116.2
178.2
14.2
9.3
2.5
2.1
15.2
21.3
1.1
1.0
JK Tyres
Neutral
144
-
3,264
8,318
9,239
16.2
16.4
21.0
27.5
6.9
5.2
1.3
1.1
19.1
20.4
0.8
0.7
Swaraj Engines
Neutral
1,990
-
2,472
788
889
16.4
16.5
71.6
81.0
27.8
24.6
8.0
7.4
29.6
31.0
2.8
2.4
Subros
Neutral
216
-
1,297
1,855
2,135
11.6
11.8
10.3
14.7
21.1
14.8
3.2
2.7
15.8
19.1
0.9
0.8
Capital Goods
BEML
Neutral
1,792
-
7,463
4,286
5,194
7.1
8.2
42.9
58.1
41.8
30.8
3.4
3.1
7.6
8.7
1.8
1.5
Bharat Electronics
Neutral
188
-
41,948
10,258
12,470
19.6
19.5
7.3
8.6
25.7
21.8
0.5
0.4
20.4
21.9
3.6
2.9
Voltas
Neutral
521
-
17,232
6,778
8,004
9.6
11.0
17.1
22.4
30.5
23.3
7.3
6.4
17.7
19.8
2.2
1.9
BHEL
Neutral
127
-
31,146
33,200
39,167
6.8
9.5
6.2
11.2
20.5
11.4
0.9
0.9
4.6
8.0
0.5
0.4
Blue Star
Neutral
745
-
7,131
5,101
5,997
6.0
7.0
17.9
26.6
41.6
28.0
8.9
8.1
21.9
29.0
1.4
1.2
CG Power and Industrial
Neutral
80
-
4,995
6,555
7,292
7.5
7.5
-
0.8
7,970.0
99.6
1.2
1.2
0.1
1.2
0.9
0.8
Solutions
Greaves Cotton
Neutral
145
-
3,539
1,778
1,993
14.7
15.1
8.1
9.1
17.9
15.9
4.0
3.8
21.8
23.6
1.8
1.6
www.angelbroking.com
Stock Watch
August 28, 2017
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY18E FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
Capital Goods
KEC International
Neutral
297
-
7,627
9,779
11,113
9.4
9.8
14.2
18.2
20.9
16.3
4.0
3.3
21.1
22.1
1.0
0.9
KEI Industries
Accumulate
233
258
1,814
3,001
3,391
10.0
10.0
13.0
16.1
17.9
14.5
3.3
2.7
18.2
18.7
0.8
0.7
Thermax
Neutral
881
-
10,497
4,125
4,747
10.3
10.8
26.7
31.5
33.0
28.0
3.7
3.4
11.2
12.0
2.3
2.0
VATech Wabag
Accumulate
611
681
3,336
3,867
4,126
9.6
10.0
34.9
39.8
17.5
15.4
2.9
2.5
17.7
17.5
0.9
0.8
Cement
ACC
Neutral
1,780
-
33,435
12,255
13,350
13.5
14.3
58.0
66.2
30.7
26.9
3.6
3.4
11.5
12.2
2.7
2.5
Ambuja Cements
Neutral
275
-
54,635
10,250
11,450
17.5
19.0
7.2
8.3
38.2
33.2
2.7
2.6
7.0
7.8
5.1
4.5
India Cements
Neutral
178
-
5,471
6,135
6,750
14.8
15.2
8.5
11.5
20.9
15.4
1.0
1.0
4.8
6.2
1.2
1.1
JK Cement
Neutral
1,019
-
7,121
4,150
4,775
19.2
20.0
49.0
63.5
20.8
16.0
3.3
2.8
17.0
18.5
2.2
1.8
J K Lakshmi Cement
Neutral
412
-
4,853
3,422
3,757
15.5
17.0
13.5
23.2
30.6
17.8
3.2
2.7
10.8
15.5
1.8
1.6
Orient Cement
Neutral
150
-
3,081
2,215
3,233
16.8
17.0
5.9
6.9
25.5
21.8
2.0
1.8
10.8
10.1
2.4
1.6
UltraTech Cement
Neutral
3,938
-
108,118
28,250
35,150
20.2
23.5
77.5
122.2
50.8
32.2
4.3
3.9
9.6
14.8
4.3
3.4
Construction
KNR Constructions
Neutral
218
-
3,061
1,846
2,203
14.5
14.5
12.1
13.7
18.0
16.0
1.0
0.9
17.5
16.7
1.7
1.4
Larsen & Toubro
Neutral
1,131
-
158,444
95,787
109,476
10.2
11.6
44.5
50.8
25.5
22.3
3.2
2.9
12.9
13.1
2.2
2.0
Gujarat Pipavav Port
Neutral
130
-
6,285
739
842
61.6
62.7
5.1
6.2
25.5
21.1
3.2
3.1
12.7
14.9
8.0
6.9
PNC Infratech
Neutral
141
-
3,629
2,040
2,935
13.0
13.0
6.4
9.0
22.1
15.7
0.6
0.5
9.7
12.2
1.8
1.3
Simplex Infra
Neutral
487
-
2,410
6,012
6,619
11.6
11.7
21.1
31.0
23.1
15.7
1.6
1.5
6.5
8.6
0.9
0.8
Sadbhav Engineering
Accumulate
268
298
4,594
3,823
4,426
10.7
10.8
10.3
11.8
26.0
22.7
3.1
2.7
10.1
10.5
1.5
1.3
NBCC
Neutral
206
-
18,522
9,099
12,706
6.4
6.4
7.3
9.6
28.3
21.5
1.3
1.0
27.5
30.5
1.9
1.4
MEP Infra
Neutral
115
-
1,871
2,403
2,910
18.3
16.8
2.4
6.1
48.9
18.9
18.6
12.5
35.2
55.8
1.9
1.6
SIPL
Neutral
101
-
3,561
2,060
2,390
46.8
47.7
(5.8)
(3.1)
3.8
4.3
(14.2)
(2.3)
6.5
6.1
Engineers India
Neutral
152
-
10,253
1,795
2,611
21.1
22.4
5.9
8.1
25.8
18.8
1.8
1.8
12.9
16.1
4.1
2.6
Financials
Axis Bank
Accumulate
506
580
121,211
32,558
35,843
3.5
3.2
27.8
41.0
18.2
12.3
2.0
1.7
11.4
14.9
-
-
Bank of Baroda
Neutral
143
-
32,915
22,533
26,079
2.4
2.4
12.0
20.9
11.9
6.8
0.8
0.7
6.6
11.0
-
-
Canara Bank
Neutral
341
-
20,368
17,925
20,235
2.0
2.1
18.5
36.5
18.4
9.3
0.7
0.7
3.4
6.2
-
-
Can Fin Homes
Neutral
2,778
-
7,396
586
741
3.5
3.5
107.8
141.0
25.8
19.7
5.7
4.6
24.1
25.6
-
-
Cholamandalam Inv. &
Accumulate
1,146
1,230
17,910
2,826
3,307
6.3
6.3
53.7
64.6
21.4
17.8
3.6
3.1
18.3
18.9
-
-
Fin. Co.
Dewan Housing Finance Accumulate
473
520
14,843
2,676
3,383
2.4
2.7
37.4
49.7
12.7
9.5
1.7
1.5
13.8
16.2
-
-
Equitas Holdings
Buy
158
235
5,345
1,125
1,380
9.6
9.8
1.5
6.0
105.2
26.3
2.4
2.2
2.4
8.2
-
-
Federal Bank
Buy
107
125
20,739
4,896
5,930
2.8
3.1
5.4
7.6
19.9
14.1
1.7
1.6
8.5
11.0
-
-
www.angelbroking.com
Stock Watch
August 28, 2017
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY18E FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
Financials
HDFC Bank
Neutral
1,766
-
454,654
55,236
63,253
4.5
4.4
68.9
82.4
25.6
21.4
4.5
3.7
18.7
18.5
-
-
ICICI Bank
Accumulate
298
315
191,090
42,361
51,378
3.6
3.9
18.4
25.7
16.2
11.6
1.8
1.7
11.3
15.0
-
-
Karur Vysya Bank
Accumulate
140
160
8,454
3,289
3,630
3.7
3.9
10.8
14.1
12.9
9.9
1.5
1.4
12.5
14.7
-
-
LIC Housing Finance
Neutral
658
-
33,227
4,895
6,332
3.4
3.7
50.7
66.8
13.0
9.9
2.6
2.1
21.7
23.8
-
-
Punjab Natl.Bank
Neutral
144
-
30,643
23,708
25,758
2.1
2.1
5.9
16.4
24.5
8.8
0.7
0.7
3.0
8.3
-
-
RBL Bank
Neutral
510
-
19,352
2,309
2,888
2.6
2.5
16.4
19.1
31.2
26.8
3.9
3.5
13.3
13.8
-
-
Repco Home Finance
Buy
650
825
4,066
496
597
4.4
4.2
38.5
48.7
16.9
13.3
3.0
2.5
19.6
20.6
-
-
South Ind.Bank
Neutral
28
-
5,016
3,195
3,567
3.0
3.1
3.0
3.8
9.2
7.3
0.9
0.8
10.5
11.9
-
-
St Bk of India
Neutral
280
-
242,086
105,827
121,056
2.4
2.5
16.1
25.6
17.4
11.0
1.4
1.2
6.6
9.9
-
-
Union Bank
Neutral
136
-
9,360
14,650
16,225
2.3
2.3
23.1
32.5
5.9
4.2
0.5
0.4
7.1
9.2
-
-
Yes Bank
Neutral
1,721
-
78,747
11,088
13,138
3.0
2.9
84.0
99.3
20.5
17.3
3.1
2.7
16.3
16.8
-
-
FMCG
Akzo Nobel India
Neutral
1,763
-
8,456
3,164
3,607
13.8
13.7
58.6
67.9
30.1
26.0
7.4
6.5
24.5
25.1
2.5
2.2
Asian Paints
Neutral
1,136
-
108,998
17,603
20,615
18.6
18.6
2,128.9
2,543.3
0.5
0.5
11.3
9.5
28.0
28.9
6.0
5.0
Britannia
Neutral
4,218
-
50,636
9,690
11,278
14.8
15.4
84.0
101.0
50.2
41.8
18.3
14.5
40.6
39.0
5.2
4.5
Colgate
Neutral
1,093
-
29,739
4,420
5,074
24.9
25.3
28.6
32.8
38.2
33.3
15.1
12.2
43.8
40.5
6.5
5.6
Dabur India
Neutral
300
-
52,819
8,346
9,344
19.6
19.9
7.8
9.0
38.4
33.3
7.8
7.0
25.2
24.8
5.9
5.2
GlaxoSmith Con*
Neutral
5,283
-
22,218
5,072
5,760
18.2
18.4
176.3
199.2
30.0
26.5
6.4
5.8
21.2
21.7
3.7
3.2
Godrej Consumer
Neutral
915
-
62,328
10,171
11,682
20.8
21.5
21.7
27.1
42.2
33.8
9.5
8.2
22.3
23.4
6.2
5.4
HUL
Neutral
1,179
-
255,179
37,077
41,508
20.3
21.8
5,189.9
6,318.5
0.2
0.2
35.9
30.7
74.8
82.0
6.7
6.0
ITC
Neutral
282
-
342,755
44,588
49,853
37.0
37.3
9.6
11.0
29.3
25.6
7.2
6.9
25.1
27.3
7.2
6.4
Marico
Neutral
316
-
40,721
6,788
7,766
18.5
19.2
7.1
8.5
44.4
37.1
15.5
13.3
36.9
38.0
5.8
5.1
Nestle*
Neutral
6,595
-
63,583
10,083
11,182
20.0
20.9
119.7
141.3
55.1
46.7
194.2
177.5
36.7
39.8
6.0
5.3
Tata Global
Neutral
194
-
12,260
7,121
7,641
11.9
12.3
6.9
8.0
28.2
24.3
1.9
1.8
6.8
7.2
1.5
1.4
Procter & Gamble
Neutral
8,068
-
26,189
3,034
3,579
27.1
27.7
167.7
198.8
48.1
40.6
12.9
11.1
28.8
29.5
8.1
6.7
Hygiene
IT
HCL Tech^
Buy
867
1,014
123,770
52,342
57,053
20.9
20.9
62.8
67.6
13.8
12.8
3.1
2.6
22.4
20.6
2.0
1.8
Infosys
Buy
913
1,179
209,598
73,963
80,619
26.0
26.0
64.4
69.3
14.2
13.2
2.8
2.6
19.7
19.6
2.3
2.0
TCS
Accumulate
2,495
2,651
491,681
127,403
138,870
27.6
27.6
144.5
156.0
17.3
16.0
5.1
4.8
29.7
29.8
3.5
3.2
Tech Mahindra
Buy
428
533
41,756
31,015
33,496
15.0
15.0
35.6
38.1
12.0
11.2
2.0
1.9
17.0
16.3
1.1
1.0
Wipro
Neutral
290
-
140,933
58,536
61,858
20.3
20.3
18.2
19.1
15.9
15.2
2.5
2.1
14.6
13.4
2.3
2.2
www.angelbroking.com
Stock Watch
August 28, 2017
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY18E FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
Media
D B Corp
Neutral
373
-
6,860
2,404
2,625
30.5
31.5
23.7
26.9
15.7
13.9
3.7
3.2
23.5
22.8
2.7
2.4
HT Media
Neutral
92
-
2,133
2,589
2,830
15.1
15.4
8.3
10.9
11.0
8.4
0.9
0.8
8.4
10.4
0.4
0.2
Jagran Prakashan
Buy
174
225
5,701
2,541
2,835
28.5
28.7
12.7
14.1
13.7
12.4
2.9
2.5
21.3
21.4
2.1
1.8
Sun TV Network
Neutral
713
-
28,090
3,238
3,789
51.9
55.1
30.9
38.0
23.1
18.8
6.6
5.8
30.0
31.0
8.2
6.9
Hindustan Media
Neutral
270
-
1,983
1,002
1,074
23.3
23.5
29.2
33.8
9.3
8.0
1.4
1.2
15.6
15.4
1.0
0.7
Ventures
TV Today Network
Buy
246
344
1,467
667
727
27.7
27.7
18.6
20.1
13.2
12.3
2.1
2.1
15.6
17.3
1.7
1.6
Music Broadcast Limited Buy
374
434
2,132
271
317
91.0
109.0
6.0
10.0
62.3
37.4
3.9
3.5
6.5
9.3
7.5
6.1
Metals & Mining
Coal India
Neutral
241
-
149,723
82,301
91,235
17.0
18.0
17.1
20.5
14.1
11.8
2.7
2.5
45.0
55.0
1.5
1.3
Hind. Zinc
Neutral
284
-
120,189
22,108
24,555
57.0
58.0
22.1
26.3
12.9
10.8
4.2
3.4
32.0
35.0
4.4
3.7
Hindalco
Neutral
232
-
52,150
102,350
105,355
13.5
14.5
21.5
24.5
10.8
9.5
1.5
1.3
15.0
15.2
1.1
1.0
JSW Steel
Neutral
246
-
59,452
64,500
68,245
21.1
21.5
20.1
21.2
12.2
11.6
2.2
1.9
-
-
1.6
1.6
NMDC
Neutral
122
-
38,663
10,209
11,450
47.0
48.0
11.1
12.1
11.0
10.1
1.5
1.4
-
-
3.3
3.0
SAIL
Neutral
61
-
25,132
54,100
63,555
3.0
10.0
(10.0)
1.5
40.6
0.8
0.8
-
-
1.5
1.2
Vedanta
Neutral
299
-
110,977
81,206
87,345
28.0
29.0
26.5
33.5
11.3
8.9
2.6
2.2
-
-
2.1
1.8
Tata Steel
Neutral
639
-
62,056
121,445
126,500
16.2
17.2
65.4
81.3
9.8
7.9
1.6
1.3
-
-
1.0
0.9
Oil & Gas
GAIL
Neutral
383
-
64,785
53,115
52,344
14.2
15.3
30.0
31.1
12.8
12.3
1.6
1.5
-
-
0.9
0.9
ONGC
Neutral
159
-
204,498
83,111
84,934
44.2
44.9
16.4
16.9
9.7
9.4
1.2
1.1
-
-
2.3
2.3
Indian Oil Corp
Neutral
428
-
207,930
396,116
432,560
8.5
8.8
40.1
42.2
10.7
10.2
1.8
1.7
-
-
0.7
0.6
Reliance Industries
Neutral
1,567
-
509,703
257,711
267,438
17.0
18.2
89.1
89.5
17.6
17.5
1.6
1.5
-
-
1.6
1.6
Pharmaceuticals
Alembic Pharma
Buy
510
600
9,610
3,903
4,584
18.2
19.2
21.8
27.2
23.4
18.7
4.3
3.5
19.8
20.6
2.5
2.1
Alkem Laboratories Ltd
Buy
1,787
2,161
21,366
6,901
7,850
18.4
19.1
85.0
100.5
21.0
17.8
4.3
3.6
20.2
20.1
3.1
2.7
Aurobindo Pharma
Accumulate
733
823
42,916
17,086
19,478
22.1
22.0
44.7
51.4
16.4
14.3
3.6
2.9
24.7
22.7
2.6
2.3
Aventis*
Neutral
4,007
-
9,229
2,508
2,862
16.8
16.8
139.9
153.8
28.6
26.1
4.2
3.4
23.5
25.8
3.3
2.7
Cadila Healthcare
Reduce
495
426
50,670
11,584
13,228
20.3
20.4
18.7
21.3
26.5
23.2
5.9
4.8
24.6
22.9
4.2
3.6
Cipla
Sell
573
461
46,141
16,619
19,437
15.4
16.2
19.7
24.3
29.1
23.6
3.3
2.9
12.0
13.2
2.9
2.5
Dr Reddy's
Buy
2,088
2,419
34,608
15,844
17,973
17.6
18.2
91.7
111.0
22.8
18.8
2.6
2.3
11.9
13.0
2.4
2.1
GSK Pharma*
Neutral
2,385
-
20,200
3,260
3,651
15.0
18.0
46.1
58.6
51.7
40.7
10.6
11.0
20.0
26.5
6.1
5.6
Indoco Remedies
Sell
190
153
1,749
1,154
1,310
14.9
14.9
11.3
12.7
16.8
14.9
2.4
2.1
15.0
15.0
1.6
1.4
Ipca labs
Buy
414
620
5,227
3,593
4,022
14.5
15.5
19.4
25.2
21.4
16.4
2.0
1.8
9.5
11.2
1.5
1.4
www.angelbroking.com
Stock Watch
August 28, 2017
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY18E FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
Pharmaceuticals
Lupin
Buy
992
1,467
44,802
18,657
21,289
21.3
23.3
52.8
66.7
18.8
14.9
2.8
2.4
16.3
17.5
2.4
2.0
Natco Pharma
Accumulate
725
796
12,634
1,836
1,946
31.8
28.9
22.1
20.6
32.8
35.2
6.6
5.9
20.1
16.7
6.7
6.3
Sun Pharma
Buy
483
712
115,956
32,899
36,451
26.9
25.4
31.6
32.3
15.3
15.0
2.7
2.3
18.7
18.8
3.2
2.7
Syngene International
Buy
445
557
8,900
1,402
1,823
32.8
36.0
15.9
20.7
28.0
21.5
5.2
4.3
18.7
20.0
6.3
4.9
Power
Tata Power
Neutral
79
-
21,435
32,547
33,806
20.5
20.5
4.7
5.4
16.9
14.8
1.6
1.4
10.5
10.5
1.6
1.6
NTPC
Neutral
169
-
139,472
86,070
101,246
28.3
30.7
12.9
16.2
13.1
10.4
1.4
1.3
10.6
12.4
3.0
2.7
Power Grid
Neutral
220
-
115,069
29,183
32,946
89.7
90.0
18.0
20.8
12.3
10.6
2.0
1.8
17.7
18.2
7.9
7.3
Real Estate
Prestige Estate
Neutral
258
-
9,684
4,607
5,146
21.0
22.2
7.9
9.8
32.7
26.4
2.0
1.9
10.3
12.0
3.3
3.0
MLIFE
Buy
425
522
2,182
487
590
12.3
17.8
21.0
31.2
20.3
13.6
1.1
1.0
5.2
7.4
3.2
2.6
Telecom
Bharti Airtel
Neutral
433
-
173,027
97,903
105,233
36.0
36.3
9.3
11.1
46.5
39.2
2.3
2.1
5.0
5.6
2.7
2.5
Idea Cellular
Neutral
90
-
32,478
35,012
37,689
27.1
27.7
(4.4)
(2.7)
1.4
1.5
(6.8)
(4.6)
2.2
2.0
zOthers
Abbott India
Neutral
4,301
-
9,140
3,244
3,723
14.9
16.1
167.5
209.4
25.7
20.5
5.7
4.7
23.7
24.8
2.5
2.1
Asian Granito
Accumulate
435
480
1,308
1,169
1,286
12.5
12.5
16.0
19.7
27.2
22.1
2.9
2.6
10.7
11.6
1.4
1.2
Bajaj Electricals
Buy
340
395
3,447
4,646
5,301
6.7
7.6
16.1
22.3
21.1
15.2
3.5
2.9
16.4
19.2
0.7
0.7
Banco Products (India)
Neutral
206
-
1,477
1,530
1,695
13.2
12.7
19.0
20.0
10.9
10.3
1.7
1.5
0.2
0.2
0.9
96.9
Coffee Day Enterprises
Neutral
241
-
4,955
3,494
3,913
17.4
18.0
4.8
5.7
-
42.2
2.1
2.0
-
0.1
1.9
1.7
Ltd
Elecon Engineering
Neutral
48
-
537
171
201
15.0
16.2
36.0
43.0
1.3
1.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
2.5
2.1
Garware Wall Ropes
Neutral
864
-
1,891
928
1,003
15.2
15.2
39.4
43.2
21.9
20.0
3.6
3.1
16.5
15.4
1.9
1.7
Goodyear India*
Neutral
813
-
1,875
1,717
1,866
11.8
12.3
47.9
49.8
17.0
16.3
2.6
2.3
15.6
15.7
0.8
112.7
Hitachi
Neutral
2,006
-
5,454
2,355
2,715
10.3
10.8
49.0
60.9
40.9
32.9
9.6
7.6
0.2
0.2
2.3
2.0
HSIL
Neutral
378
-
2,732
2,240
2,670
14.6
15.0
17.0
22.0
22.2
17.2
1.8
1.7
0.1
0.1
1.4
1.2
Interglobe Aviation
Neutral
1,187
-
42,917
22,570
27,955
14.2
15.0
63.6
81.8
18.7
14.5
9.8
8.3
0.5
0.6
1.6
1.2
Jyothy Laboratories
Neutral
376
-
6,835
1,781
2,044
14.1
15.0
9.4
10.5
40.2
35.8
8.6
8.0
0.2
0.2
4.1
3.5
Linc Pen & Plastics
Neutral
236
-
349
420
462
9.3
9.3
15.3
17.1
15.4
13.8
2.6
2.7
16.9
19.5
0.9
0.8
M M Forgings
Neutral
600
-
724
542
642
20.1
21.0
41.6
56.8
14.4
10.6
2.0
1.7
0.1
0.2
1.8
1.5
Mirza International
Neutral
154
-
1,853
1,148
1,285
18.0
18.0
8.0
9.4
19.2
16.5
3.2
2.7
16.3
16.1
1.8
1.5
Navkar Corporation
Buy
187
265
2,663
561
617
41.5
41.5
11.5
12.7
16.2
14.7
1.7
1.5
10.5
10.4
5.4
4.7
Nilkamal
Neutral
1,557
-
2,323
2,317
2,525
11.4
11.1
96.0
105.0
16.2
14.8
2.8
2.4
0.2
0.2
1.0
0.9
Parag Milk Foods
Neutral
241
-
2,028
1,987
2,379
7.6
9.0
12.4
18.3
19.5
13.2
2.7
2.4
8.2
13.2
1.1
1.0
www.angelbroking.com
Stock Watch
August 28, 2017
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY18E FY19E FY18E FY19E FY18E FY19E FY18E FY19E FY18E FY19E FY18E FY19E FY18E FY19E
zOthers
Radico Khaitan
Neutral
165
-
2,195
1,811
1,992
13.2
13.2
8.1
8.8
20.4
18.7
2.1
2.2
10.1
12.0
1.5
1.4
Relaxo Footwears
Neutral
503
-
6,041
1,981
2,310
13.7
14.5
12.0
15.5
41.9
32.5
8.2
6.6
0.2
0.2
3.1
2.7
Siyaram Silk Mills
Buy
1,958
2,500
1,836
1,769
1,981
12.7
12.7
113.1
131.1
17.3
14.9
2.7
2.3
15.5
15.5
1.2
1.1
Styrolution ABS India* Neutral
910
-
1,600
1,800
1,980
8.0
8.1
42.0
46.2
21.7
19.7
2.4
2.2
0.1
0.1
1.0
0.9
Surya Roshni
Neutral
274
-
1,203
4,870
5,320
7.7
7.8
22.8
28.1
12.1
9.8
1.6
1.4
0.1
0.1
0.5
0.4
TVS Srichakra
Neutral
3,321
-
2,543
2,729
2,893
12.7
12.5
248.5
265.0
13.4
12.5
3.8
3.1
0.3
0.3
0.9
0.9
Visaka Industries
Neutral
542
-
861
1,104
1,214
12.1
12.6
31.0
37.9
17.5
14.3
2.1
1.9
0.1
0.1
1.0
0.9
VIP Industries
Neutral
211
-
2,983
1,450
1,693
10.4
10.5
6.5
7.8
32.3
27.0
6.8
6.0
21.1
22.1
2.0
1.7
Navin Fluorine
Accumulate
664
730
3,273
945
1,154
22.4
22.6
28.7
34.8
23.2
19.1
3.8
3.3
-
-
3.0
2.3
Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: *December year end; #September year end; &October year end; Price as on August 24, 2017
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
August 28, 2017
Research Team Tel: 022 - 39357800
E-mail: [email protected]
Website: www.angelbroking.com
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